Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 5.234234 5.703931 6.215742 6.818300 7.512767 8.293553 9.245632
2025-03-16 4.474872 5.110850 5.856171 6.807837 8.011372 9.512728 11.578057
2025-03-23 4.085753 4.818649 5.722373 6.946855 8.610072 10.868492 14.321596
2025-03-30 3.672652 4.423655 5.381635 6.733731 8.666414 11.462452 16.111240
2025-04-06 3.359030 4.113398 5.101934 6.544258 8.695797 11.984301 17.885520
2025-04-13 3.113271 3.865226 4.873106 6.386002 8.728773 12.491932 19.750473
2025-04-20 2.931856 3.686112 4.718378 6.309755 8.864108 13.173728 22.130574
2025-04-27 2.846496 3.629993 4.728020 6.473885 9.398053 14.637631 26.627875
2025-05-04 2.767438 3.574921 4.731390 6.623865 9.925089 16.203233 32.098599
2025-05-11 2.651706 3.458274 4.632298 6.595895 10.130765 17.181132 36.625059
2025-05-18 2.538704 3.338058 4.517921 6.529187 10.252458 18.007973 41.222556
2025-05-25 2.418573 3.200282 4.366692 6.384997 10.205552 18.450891 44.921938
2025-06-01 2.311311 3.081197 4.244799 6.294530 10.280814 19.270430 50.883709
2025-06-08 2.226167 2.991886 4.165586 6.274489 10.502798 20.537194 60.018991
2025-06-15 2.176951 2.954245 4.165999 6.396459 11.041112 22.810566 76.959182
2025-06-22 2.072282 2.824762 4.007025 6.207864 10.873960 23.082566 84.053664
2025-06-29 1.979556 2.709717 3.865409 6.039968 10.730707 23.394810 92.211330
2025-07-06 1.898757 2.609846 3.743554 5.899523 10.631289 23.821261 102.297572
2025-07-13 1.836431 2.536622 3.662708 5.831785 10.693809 24.797622 119.432347
2025-07-20 1.814524 2.526931 3.689422 5.977540 11.295432 27.849851 168.600124
2025-07-27 1.791374 2.513864 3.709050 6.110540 11.892307 31.228885 248.802880
2025-08-03 1.745055 2.460669 3.654743 6.085750 12.073987 33.089276 327.156491
2025-08-10 1.696352 2.401573 3.586804 6.026602 12.154527 34.583752 424.162213